Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics
Feb 17, 2023
In March 2022, the Chinese government set a target of 5-5.5% GDP growth for the year. At the time, such growth levels appeared perfectly attainable. But within a month, the Omicron variant had arrived, triggering strict lockdowns that, while stemming the spread of the coronavirus, caused serious damage to the supply and demand sides of the economy. China’s growth rate for 2022 was just 3%.
Xu Hongcai, Deputy Director, Economic Policy Commission
Feb 03, 2023
China will stay on a positive trajectory this year, but its achievements did not come easily. Some fundamentals still need to be addressed, as the foundation underpinning the recovery is not yet rock solid. Boosting incomes would make a difference.
Lawrence Lau, Ralph and Claire Landau Professor of Economics, CUHK
Jan 24, 2023
2022 was not a good year for the Chinese economy. In 2022, the COVID-19 epidemic, which started in December 2019, caused significant economic disruptions in the second quarter, especially in Shanghai, resulting in a real rate of growth for the Mainland economy of only 3.0% for the year as a whole. This is the second lowest annual rate since economic reform and opening began in 1978.
Xu Hongcai, Deputy Director, Economic Policy Commission
Dec 29, 2022
Despite a slowing of global economic tailwinds, China is expected to see 4.7 percent growth next year for many reasons, including domestic consumption. Government spending will expand, and private investment will be encouraged. All in all, China will gradually see a return to economic boom times.
Dan Steinbock, Founder, Difference Group
Aug 26, 2022
In its pursuit for unipolar primacy, the Biden administration is risking the economic stability of China, the West, emerging Asia, and the futures of the Global South.
Shang-Jin Wei, Professor, Finance and Economics at Columbia University
Apr 05, 2022
In early March, Premier Li Keqiang announced that China is targeting GDP growth of “about 5.5%” this year. That would be ambitious even without Russia’s war against Ukraine and the attendant increases in global energy and food prices. Back in January, for example, the International Monetary Fund forecast that the Chinese economy would grow by only 4.8% in 2022. And in 2019, the last full year before the COVID-19 pandemic, GDP increased by just under 6%.
Xu Hongcai, Deputy Director, Economic Policy Commission
Mar 24, 2022
Growth of 5.5 percent growth is possible and consistent with the country’s economic expansion in recent years. One key path forward is the digital economy. Green development will help define China’s high-quality economic future.
Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics
Jun 21, 2021
Recent price increases in the world’s two largest economies have unnerved global markets, which have become accustomed to the low inflation – and even deflation – that has prevailed for decades. But, at least in China, a little inflation would not be a bad thing.
Nancy Qian, Professor, Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management and Director of China Lab
May 17, 2021
Economic reporting about China focuses far too much on total GDP and not enough on per capita GDP, which is the more revealing indicator. And this skewed coverage has important implications, because the two indicators paint significantly different pictures of China’s current economic and political situation. They also focus our attention on different issues.
He Weiwen, Senior Fellow, Center for China and Globalization, CCG
Apr 29, 2021
The strengthening of the economy also means growing attractiveness for global investors. During the first quarter of 2021, FDI inflows to China accelerated tremendously, and there are good opportunities for U.S. investors, with no chance to lose.