South China Sea
- Chen Xiangmiao , Assistant Research Fellow, China National Institute for South China Sea Studies
Mar 10 , 2017The sea issue is a stumbling block in China-US relations, but it’s not clear that the new president sees it as more important that the RMB exchange rate or other issues in the bilateral relationship. In that case, “freedom of navigation” there could be used by Trump as a bargaining chip in negotiations about issues that concern him more.
- J. Berkshire Miller , International Affairs Fellow (Hitachi), Council on Foreign Relations (Tokyo)
Mar 17 , 2017The swarm approach – by hitting Beijing on multiple issues in at once in a flurry – seems to be calculated upon Trump’s own business approach. This projects that Trump’s “leverage” over Beijing would compel painful concessions from China on core issues because of its fear over Washington’s scorn and threats.
- Zhang Xinbo , Assistant Research Fellow, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations
Mar 06 , 2017Sending the first US aircraft-carrier combat group to patrol the South China Sea since the Philippines arbitration has unsettled the region. The US military should promote new trust-building with its Chinese counterpart, and the administration can ease tensions with a clear statement on sovereignty over South China Sea features.
- Ramses Amer , Associated Fellow, Institute for Security & Development Policy, Sweden
Li Jianwei ,
Mar 03 , 2017In China’s foreign relations regarding the South China Sea (SCS) Issues, Vietnam is undoubtedly one of the key countries that China has to face and need to be handled well for its overall good neighbourly relations in its regional foreign policy.
- Sourabh Gupta , Senior Fellow, Institute for China-America Studies
Feb 17 , 2017Mr. Tillerson betrays a lack of understanding of the U.S. position on the sovereignty claims in the South China Sea. As a matter of policy, the U.S. takes no position – and hasn’t for decades – on these rival claims. If the Secretary of State has the chance to encounter 96-year Li Jingsen on his next visit to Beijing, he might learn that the warships sent by China to recover the islands in 1946 were even provided by the United States.
- Nong Hong , Head of Institute for China-America Studies (ICAS)
Feb 24 , 2017The December 2016 incident involving a U.S. unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) was neatly wrapped up on December 20 after China returned the vehicle. Despite diverging legal interpretations, the management of the event reflected the political willingness of both countries to keep the South China Sea dispute under control and in a careful balance so that the situation does not escalate into a military confrontation.
- P. Elisabeth Smits , PhD candidate, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University
Feb 06 , 2017In January 2017, China released a document that helps interpret the policy goals of President Xi Jinping, particularly his speech in May 2014 where he promoted, “New Asian security concept for new progress in security cooperation.” The Trump administration should take note of three points in the new document: China’s country relations, the South China Sea, and the conspicuous absence of certain information, as each will have a critical role in U.S.-China relations.
- Richard Javad Heydarian , author of "Asia's New Battlefield: US, China, and the Struggle for Western Pacific"
Feb 06 , 2017Duterte, whom some have dubbed as the “Trump of the East”, made it clear that he feels a sense of personal affinity with the new American leader, whom he has described as a kindred spirit, a fellow strongman and anti-establishment populist. There are, of course, legitimate concerns about the possibility of things spiraling out of control if and when mercurial and larger-than-life figures like Duterte and Trump collide. For now, however, Manila is optimistic about a diplomatic reset with its oldest friend, America.
- Zhou Bo , Honorary Fellow, PLA Academy of Military Science
Jan 25 , 2017Like the confidence-building measures that have maintained peace and stability along the disputed China-India border, a code of conduct agreement with ASEAN will smooth relations and invite new cooperation — without regard to the Philippines’ improper and unilateral appeal for outside arbitration.
- Yao Yunzhu , Retired Major General, Chinese People’s Liberation Army
Jan 27 , 2017If a military blockade is implemented to deny China the access to the South China Sea islands it occupies, it means an invasion against Chinese territory, retired Chinese major general Yao Yunzhu argues.