The U.S. Electorate and China
May 24, 2016
Whether or not Donald Trump’s outlandish personality will carry him all the way to the White House, China-US relations and respect for China’s rise are so essential that any incoming president will act to keep the relationship stable.
Who Will Be to Blame for the Next Collision Incident in the South China Sea?
May 23, 2016
The recent U.S. reconnaissance activities in South China Sea raises the question if another collision is looming in the air. After examining the existing international conventions and laws regarding airspace and maritime encounters, the author argues that the key to preventing another collision is for the U.S. to stop close-in reconnaissance operations near China’s waters.
Duterte Faces Hard Choice Mending Ties with China and Keeping Alliance with the U.S.
May 16, 2016
While Duterte seriously values the Philippines’ long-standing security alliance with the U.S., he seems to be more enthusiastic in repairing the Philippines’ damaged political ties with China. Rommel Banlaoi warns, however, that excessive accommodation of China could potentially undermine the Philippines’ long standing alliance with the United States.
Foreign Policy
Why China Might Prefer a Hawk to a Loose Cannon
May 18, 2016
Chinese media is already weighing in on the implications of a race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump. Clinton presents to Chinese politicians an undeniably superior alternative to Trump’s loose cannon: a known entity with predictable behavior who will maintain the current tenor of bilateral diplomatic dialogue.
Foreign Policy
Obama's Hiroshima Visit Sends Wrong Messages
May 24, 2016
As the U.S. Indulgence towards Japan grows, an emboldened Japan will act more aggressively. A successful U.S. Asia strategy hinges upon a balanced policy toward both China and Japan. However, the scale is well tilted towards Japan now. If Obama wants to make a stable U.S.-China relations one of his foreign policy legacies, he should think over before leap.
Foreign Policy
Why President Duterte Rejects a Strategy of Tension Promoted by U.S.
May 20, 2016
Despite western press fearing the next Philippine president as a “strongman,” President Duterte won the majority of votes from an election with a record 82 percent turnout. For the first time, Philippines is poised to have its first president who is a self-declared socialist, and who wants to hedge bets between U.S. security assurance and Chinese economic cooperation.
Energy & Environment
After the Paris Climate Agreement, What’s Next?
May 12, 2016
China and the U.S. are actively promoting the changes set out in the Paris Climate Agreement signed at the end of April. China’s already shut down enough coal mines to cut CO2 emissions equal to the entirety of Great Britain’s annual emissions, but what else is needed to keep under two degrees Celsius?
Peace & Security
Time to Stop Using Arbitration for Selfish Gains
May 17, 2016
The arbitration tribunal has put its own authority in question by redefining the case against China put before it by the Philippines. All nations should be concerned about what would become of China’s maritime entitlements in the South China Sea if we let UNCLOS serve as the sole exclusionary source of such entitlements.
Finance & Economy
Trade with China at Stake Due to Downward Pressure in US Economy
May 12, 2016
Increasing US technology and equipment exports to China would not only assist Chinese industrial upgrading, but also help US production in a time of sliding Chinese demand for US goods. Finalizing a bilateral investment treaty and closer collaboration between both governments and business to clinch more PPP projects in US infrastructure investments also would benefit both countries.
Foreign Policy
"Selective Engagement" Offers Best Hope for U.S. Foreign Policy
May 18, 2016
The following are the opening remarks by James A. Baker, III at the Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing in Washington DC on May 12, 2016.
Peace & Security
More U.S. Troops in Asia, More Waste of U.S. Taxpayers’ Money
May 06, 2016
The obstinate pursuit of US military hegemony in Asia will inevitably harm interests of both the US and Asian countries. The fundamentally flawed strategy could neither enhance the confidence of US allies, nor give any chance of US victory in any accidental conflicts or unfortunate wars in Asia. In any cost-benefit analysis, the effort is a waste of taxpayers’ money with no possible prospect of playing a constructive role in the region.