- When US President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) this past January, many observers saw that decision as a boon for China. East Asia countries can no longer count on US-supplied public goods to maintain peace and deliver prosperity, they will face some tough choices.
- Richard Kozul-Wright , Director, the Division on Globalization and Development Strategies
Daniel Poon , Economic Affairs Officer, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
May 25 , 2017China’s experiments with industrial and financial policies may end up providing emerging economies with valuable insight into how to avoid the middle-income trap. But, for a US concerned with its eroding manufacturing base, the lesson is already apparent.
- Eric Harwit , Professor, University of Hawaii Asian Studies Program
May 24 , 2017In March, two leading members of the Trump administration announced that China’s ZTE Corporation would pay the largest criminal fine in U.S. sanctions history. As long as North Korea’s military program tops the U.S. foreign policy agenda with China, economic sanctions aimed at punishing Chinese corporations may take a back seat to reaching a goal of increased Chinese pressure on the North Korean regime.
- Christopher A. McNally , Professor of Political Economy, Chaminade University
May 24 , 2017The recent announcement of a new trade agreement between the United States and China illustrates how the Mar-a-Lago meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi has started to generate concrete results. However, the transactional approach risks leading to an impasse. It is a step in the right direction, but it needs to be buttressed by more fundamental deals, such as the US-China Bilateral Investment Treaty.
- Robert I. Rotberg , Founding Director of Program on Intrastate Conflict, Harvard Kennedy School
May 23 , 2017Ugandan petty merchants believe not that Chinese are sharper traders than they are but that they are subsidized by the Chinese government, meaning unfair competition. Just as the Trump administration in the United States asserts that China dumps raw steel on world market, selling its own glut of steel below cost, so the vendors of Uganda and Zambia are confident that Chinese traders in their countries can only provide imported goods at lower cost because they are somehow subsidized with export rebates from the Chinese government.
- Yun Sun , Senior Associate with the East Asia Program, Henry L. Stimson Center
May 23 , 2017Earlier this month, the Pentagon endorsed a plan to invest 7.5 billion USD to strengthen U.S. presence in the Asia-Pacific region over the next five years. The two major security concerns, a rising China and nuclear North Korea, are easily identified to justify the initiative.
- Amitai Etzioni , Professor, International Relations at The George Washington University
May 23 , 2017A less alarmed view of China’s Belt and Road Initiative finds first of all that the whole project is much overhyped. Figures about investments include projects that had been previously launched. Although China is likely to increase its influence in the region, its growing influence should not be equated with aggression. In determining how to react to the Silk Road initiative, the West should draw on a major strategic consideration: Do the U.S. and its allies plan to block any and all increases in Chinese influence—or merely contain those moves that entails China’s use of force to dominate other countries?
- Zhang Monan , Researcher, China Int'l Economic Exchanges Center
May 19 , 2017Giving priority to important institutional innovations and rule-making will not only provide opportunities for promoting China’s industrial capacity cooperation and manufacturing upgrading, but also promote a new round of prosperity-oriented growth for global trade and new globalization.
- He Weiwen , Vice President and Senior Fellow, Center for China and Globalization
May 18 , 2017The initial deals represent more intangible benefits than tangible ones, but high-tech, energy, steel and infrastructure financing all offer bankable opportunities for both countries beyond the 100-day action plan.
- Sajjad Ashraf , Adjunct Professor, National University of Singapore
May 18 , 2017Pakistan’s deep-sea port Gwadar, which the Chinese built and are now operating under a 40-year agreement, is a key part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The U.S. and India are looking at the Chinese initiative with skepticism, believing that the twin initiatives are meant more to secure China’s geo-strategic aims.