Finance & Economy

After Luo Zhaohui, China’s incoming ambassador to Canada, labeled Canada’s foreign investment rules as “negative” and called for “some kind of changes” to the nation’s trade policy, Hugh Stephens examines why bilateral trade relations have declined and what Canada and the United States can do to promote greater investment from China.

Is Cuba actually following the “China model” of economic reform and development? While Cuba indeed has been influenced by China’s rapid economic growth, Fernando Menéndez argues that Cuba’s moves are a retreat by the state from certain economic activities, it is still far from the Chinese model.

GDP

Despite predictions that the Chinese economy will overtake the US in 2014, China will still remain world No.2 for years, writes He Weiwen.

Due to China’s rapid economic growth, the country is now incurring the hazardous effects of its accruing environmental damage. China’s environmental problems are exacerbated by global demand. The U.S. and China can attain mutual benefits by collaboratively cleaning up China’s eco-system. China should also capitalize on innovative green technologies to develop the interior and the west of the country.

The issue of cyber warfare and other cyber security incidents is becoming a serious problem for China, and is causing problems with its relations with foreign powers. In particular, China and the US have seen an increase in tensions due to cyber security issues initiated by US intelligence. The two powers should cooperate to avoid future cyber related conflicts.

In the future, Americans may not worry about the Yuan being undervalued, but will rather worry that a rapidly appreciated Yuan may erode the dollar’s supremacy and thus share the benefits enjoyed by the traditional international reserve currency, writes Ding Yifan.

Bi-lateral and multi-lateral Free Trade Agreements are becoming increasingly important in maximizing regional and international trade. Due to the immense size of China, South Korea and Japan’s economies, it is important that all three negotiate and develop a China-South Korea-Japan Free Trade Area. Increased trade between the three will lead to increases in the size of all of their economies.

China’s central bank will not change its monetary policy in the near future, but will rather keep a steady but tight policy to get both credit and monetary growth back on track. This could be the keynote of China central bank monetary policy for 2014, writes Yi XIanrong.

Many Latin American countries have experienced record levels of growth in the last decade due to high prices of commodities, however, few planned for the future. As China slows and US desire for petroleum lessens, the economies of many Latin American countries that have failed to diversify their economies away from a single commodity are slowing drastically.

The crisis in Ukraine is geopolitically important for the US; however, it will not derail the US “pivot” to Asia-Pacific. The US will continue to “pivot” towards Asia-Pacific through increased troop deployments, an increased role in conflict mediation, as well as through the promotion of stronger regional alliances in an attempt to contain a growing China.

In late February, the gradual appreciation of the renminbi was interrupted by a 1% depreciation. The resulting international outcry obscured a troubling feature of China’s exchange-rate policy: the tendency for sporadic renminbi appreciation (even small movements) to trigger speculative inflows of “hot” money.

economy

Analysts expecting a large crash of the Chinese economy will be disappointed, writes Yu Yongding, as China has, in fact, faced far worse financial difficulties. While the country’s current problems aren’t as severe as those it faced in the late 1990’s or early 2000’s, problems do persist and the margin for error is rapidly reaching its economic limits.

Yu Sui hopes that Chuck Hagel’s current trip in China can provide positive momentum for the formulation of the new-type major-country relationship between China and the United States.

Economic, trade and investment cooperation between China and the United States will make key contributions to an effective APEC and to the rest of the world, writes He Weiwen.

Government has an essential role to play in curbing pollution in China, however ordinary citizens can also play a role in reducing energy consumption, writes Xiong Lei.

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