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Trump and China Policy
  • Mel Gurtov, Professor Emeritus of Political Science, Portland State University

    Dec 22, 2016

    President-elect Trump is lacking practical experience in China beyond making the occasional sale to a businessman. This does not translate into foreign policy, and undermines the “great relationship” that he’s claimed to have since the campaign. It seems that in Trump’s mind, everything China does is suspect.

  • George Koo, Retired International Business Consultant and Contributor to Asia Times

    Dec 22, 2016

    Unfortunately for President-elect Trump, he can’t ignore the conflagration of the Middle East that he will inherit from his predecessors. But he can avoid creating more conflicts and new regional tensions elsewhere if he sticks to the idea of getting along with everybody. In the case of China, Trump has the opportunity to break cleanly from the past.

  • Yuan Peng, Vice President, Chinese Institute of Contemporary International Relations

    Dec 16, 2016

    As the relationship between the US and China continues to evolve from one between the sole superpower and one of several major powers to one between the ‘eldest’ and ‘second brother’, the president-elect will need to be pragmatic and creative to preserve a deep mutual dependence between the two countries.

  • Doug Bandow, Senior Fellow, Cato Institute

    Dec 14, 2016

    President-elect Donald Trump’s attack on international trade, and especially his intention to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), will allow the People’s Republic of China to seize the economic lead in Asia and prevent any goal of making America great again.

  • Vasilis Trigkas, Visiting Assistant Professor, Schwarzman College, Tsinghua University

    Dec 14, 2016

    Strategic surprise and a cultivated image of irrationality is a classical strategy in a game of brinkmanship. One side highlights its willingness to “dance too close” to the cliff’s edge and maximize risk, leading its opposition into eventual retreat. Trumps’ discussion with Tsai Ing-wen must be seen through the prism or feigned irrationality. Trump, a studious businessman, may have considered the strategies of past presidents and found the “Madman” hypothesis compelling for his ultimate goal: to leverage Chinese adamancy over core national interests like the Taiwan issue into an agreement over trade and jobs – his existential political pledge.

  • Wu Zurong, Research Fellow, China Foundation for Int'l Studies

    Dec 14, 2016

    Despite trade frictions and the recent fuss over contact with Taiwan’s leader, the future Trump administration is likely to promote the smooth development of Sino-U.S. relations in the years to come. Expansion of cooperation in areas where the two countries have common interests would be the first priority of both sides.

  • Dennis V. Hickey, James F. Morris Endowed Professor of Political Science, Missouri State University

    Dec 13, 2016

    What does Donald Trump’s victory mean for Sino-American relations? With no experience in government, Trump is unique among all past American presidents. It also means the new president has no political background by which the Chinese can predict his behavior. Trump will come to the White House with a “clean slate” with respect to official “China policy.”

  • Beth Smits, PhD candidate, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University

    Dec 13, 2016

    As the president-elect makes bold statements and takes symbolic actions relevant to US-Sino relations, perhaps a bit of folklore suggests how to think about wise policy actions.

  • Yang Jiemian, Senior Fellow and Chairman of SIIS Academic Affairs Council

    Dec 13, 2016

    The new US leader must truly realize that managing US-China relations in a constructive manner is essential for both countries and the world at large. While Trump plans a dial-back on some US commitments abroad, he cannot change all market rules at will -- and he’s barking up the wrong tree when he attributes most of America’s economic problems to China.

  • Chen Jimin, Guest Researcher, Center for Peace and Development Studies, China Association for International Friendly Contact

    Dec 09, 2016

    Donald Trump’s words on the campaign trail suggest that Sino-US relations may fluctuate in the transition period. The balance of power between the two sides will continue to change but the importance and sensitivity of Sino-US relations will also increase.

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