Shao Yuqun
Director, Institute for Taiwan, HK and Macau Studies, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies
Apr 11, 2025
If the Trump administration remains oblivious to the dangers and provocations of Lai Ching-te’s policies, the confrontation between Beijing and the United States over the island will intensify.
Dec 20, 2024
America’s China policy, characterized by major-power competition, has had a subtle yet significant influence on the Taiwan question. The next U.S. administration, whether led by Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, is likely make changes. The devil will be in the details.
Jan 29, 2024
The United States has a long history of interference in Taiwan’s internal politics. Now that the ruling party has fewer seats than the opposition, Washington is likely to ramp up its influence on Ko Wen-je and his minority Taiwan People’s Party, which has suddenly become a crucial swing vote.
Jan 16, 2024
Five critical challenges present themselves in the post-San Francisco summit era: Taiwan, geopolitics, dialogue mechanisms, American elections and the U.S. view of strategic competition. Be prepared for a potentially bumpy ride in 2024.
Jun 21, 2023
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to China represents one of the steps taken to actualize the principles discussed during the meeting between President Xi Jinping and his U.S. counterpart, Joe Biden, in Bali. The visit was initially planned for February this year, but following the "spy balloon" incident, the Biden team decided to postpone it. This decision was influenced by domestic political pressures and an attempt to leverage these pressures against China.
Nov 14, 2016
It remains to be seen whether the Trump-led US will be more self-confident, or more suspicious; continue embracing (though no longer enthusiastically) globalization, or nervously shrink back. The notion that businessman Trump will be more interested in cutting deals, and that his foreign policy will forsake persistent American values and criteria, is overly naive.
Sep 17, 2014
The SCO should focus its efforts on intra-cooperation in security, politics and the economy. By doing so, the regional organization will enhance its ability to cope with regional challenges, and win respect from the rest of the world.
Feb 24, 2014
Shao analyzes the US’ “New Silk Road Initiative” and China’s “Silk Road Economic Belt,”and concludes that though having differences, they go in the same direction: acceleration of regional economic cooperation.
Jan 28, 2014
Reconstruction of Afghanistan may be an important field of cooperation in the progression of Sino-US relations. While there are many areas of cooperation, Shao Yuqun also explains some areas of tension.