If the Trump administration remains oblivious to the dangers and provocations of Lai Ching-te’s policies, the confrontation between Beijing and the United States over the island will intensify.

The Philippines has played a dynamic role in the Indo-Pacific as of late, now drawing the ire of Beijing by accepting U.S.-made defense systems in the northernmost reaches of its islands. While this may come off like a geopolitical power play, the Philippines still has steadfast commitments to its interests in its own backyard that deserve examination.

America’s China policy, characterized by major-power competition, has had a subtle yet significant influence on the Taiwan question. The next U.S. administration, whether led by Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, is likely make changes. The devil will be in the details.

In small but steady degrees, the United States is undercutting its stated commitment to “one China” by subtly modifying its words. The meanings it has added in diplomatic discourse do not promote confidence that it will continue to honor the agreements it has made. On the contrary, U.S. actions belie those agreements.

Recently elected leader Lai Ching-te is turning toward open advocacy for independence. But his populist agitation is straining relations with the United States, dragging down economic development and potentially compromising peace and stability in the region.

Three evils threaten to prevent the peaceful reunification of the Chinese people. Many on both sides hope for a respectful resolution of the Taiwan issue. This will require a comprehensive and nuanced approach by key stakeholders on the island and in Beijing, as well as the international community.

While Lai Ching-te’s victory in Taiwan’s elections was expected, the parliamentary vote for the Legislative Yuan was less predictable, leading to a presidential administration that lacks a parliamentary majority for the first time in many years. But ultimately, the election’s impact on cross-Strait relations Sino-American relations remains to be seen.

The EU must strike a balance on its Taiwan policy, akin to other major powers, and have a comprehensive strategy. As the U.S. elections approach, which will have significant geopolitical implications for the self-governed island, Europe, a potential pivotal player, must carefully consider moves to uphold credibility on the global stage and maintain a coherent and principled foreign policy.

Taiwan’s new leader expressed radical views regarding independence on the campaign trail. But with the election now behind him, he seems to have softened. He should listen to public opinion and cool the hot rhetoric before his May 20 inauguration.