Li Huan, Deputy Director at CICIR's Institute of Hong Kong and Macao Studies, and Distinguished Research Fellow, Xiamen University
Dec 05, 2023
China and the U.S. both emphasize that their Taiwan policies have not changed, even though their wording has. The larger problem, however, is that the authorities in Taiwan authorities are bent on independence and rely heavily on U.S. power. This has created an Asian powder keg.
Junyang Hu, Research Fellow, Intellisia Institute
Dec 05, 2023
Past agreements that were sufficient to navigate the political complexities are being eroded. China and the United States now seem driven toward more military posturing. But the notion of gaining security solely through military might is an illusion. A new approach is needed.
Ted Galen Carpenter, Senior Fellow, Randolph Bourne Institute
Jul 21, 2023
U.S. allies in East Asia are growing reluctant to support American military actions in the event of a conflict with China over Taiwan. These allies express concerns about the significant costs and risks associated with such a conflict, prompting them to advocate for restraint and inform Washington that it would have to confront any resulting conflict with China independently.
James Chau, President, China-United States Exchange Foundation
Jun 29, 2023
Just as a pianist practises a new piece of music slowly, with attention to every phrase, keeping the first signs of goodwill between Washington and Beijing on track calls for a disciplined use of words. More educational exchanges and people-to-people interactions will also help improve understanding and dispel fear and suspicion.
Ted Galen Carpenter, Senior Fellow, Randolph Bourne Institute
Apr 28, 2023
The Taiwan stand-off between the island, China, and the U.S. has been a simmering point of tension for decades, but with anti-China rhetoric ratcheting up in the West, and bolder American overtures towards Taiwan’s elected leaders, the potential for open conflict seems more and more likely.
Zhong Houtao, Associate Professor, School of National Security at the Institute of International Relations
Apr 24, 2023
The United States is at a three-way crossroads. It must decide whether to defend Taiwan, abandon Taiwan or destroy Taiwan. Will the U.S. risk being dragged into a war as it continues to use Taiwan to contain China’s progress? The clock is ticking.
Zhao Minghao, Professor, Institute of International Studies, Fudan University
Apr 19, 2023
Washington’s repeated provocations — both military and political — have made any recovery of stable relations with China difficult. If the United States fails to comprehend the serious nature of the Taiwan question, war will likely result.
Lucio Blanco Pitlo III, Research Fellow, Asia-Pacific Pathways to Progress Foundation
Apr 18, 2023
AUKUS has laid out a plan for Australia to acquire its own SSN fleet. While the buildup of subs will take several years, submarine basing access and easing of constraints on the transfer of submarine parts and technologies to allies and partners mean that the program’s impact can be felt sooner in the Indo-Pacific, including on the Taiwan Straits hotspot.
Nathaniel Schochet, Analyst and CJPA Global Advisors
Earl Carr, Founder and Chief Executive Officer at CJPA Global Advisors
Apr 12, 2023
Taiwan’s DPP, the pro-independence ruling party, has been fighting to retain relationships in the fallout of losing Honduras’ recognition to Beijing. Meanwhile, opposition leaders have breached a historic cross-strait divide with a visit to mainland China, all of this happening in the run up to Taiwan’s presidential elections next year.
Zhu Songling, Professor, Beijing Union University
Feb 01, 2023
Consultations with island authorities on trade shows American double-dealing. The visit undermined core Chinese interests and had a negative effect. It will do harm but no good in China-U.S. relations and will only undermine U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s Beijing visit.