Dan Steinbock
Founder, Difference Group
Jun 05, 2020
The disastrous failure of the Trump administration to contain COVID-19 will result in catastrophic 2nd quarter results. So, Trump is targeting China as the scapegoat while risking his re-election on domestic unrest, fatal geopolitics, and a global depression.
May 08, 2020
Belated COVID-19 mobilization has resulted in massive human costs and huge economic damage. If appropriate science-based medical policies are further ignored, a multi-year global contraction could follow.
Mar 03, 2020
As the Trump White House has sought to politicize the virus outbreaks, vital time has been lost and collateral damage is likely to haunt the administration.
Feb 11, 2020
As the economic outlook for the US, China and the world diminish, the novel coronavirus outbreak may be steadying. Sadly, much of the economic, xenophobic and virus damage stems from lagging cooperation.
Jan 23, 2020
The assassination of Major General Soleimani reflects regime change operations that have taken a perilous turn in a volatile region.
Nov 08, 2019
In the early 2000s, the BRIC economies were projected to surpass the advanced G6 economies by the early 2030s. Today, the huge potential of emerging economies prevails, but the pace has slowed and country trajectories have diverged, thanks to geopolitics.
Oct 10, 2019
Recently, many countries in Asia have suffered from deadly and costly epidemics. While globalization and climate change may play a causal role, germ geopolitics cannot be excluded any longer.
Aug 29, 2019
In the coming months, some of the worst collateral damage of US tariff wars will occur in sub-Saharan Africa. The adverse impact is likely to be aggravated by US protectionism, which shuns economic integration in Africa.
Jun 08, 2019
In the Shangri-La Summit, the Trump administration introduced a new, muscular Indo-Pacific strategy, which is fueled by private interests and foreign governments - not the interests of the US, China or emerging Asia.
May 03, 2019
Starting in May, the White House hopes to extinguish Iran’s oil exports. However, any destabilization may prove counter-productive and cause long-term damage to the United States, the region, and global prospects.