Nov 09, 2026

Whether in extraction, refining, pricing, consumption or trade, the Trump administration faces constraints in its efforts to bring oil prices down. Ultimately, the only way to achieve a sustained reduction is through diplomacy to end the Iran war and restore normal commerce.

Oct 02, 2026

As voices questioning artificial intelligence grow louder in the United States, the deeper concerns behind them touch political nerves. AI could well become a new dividing line in the American political spectrum, much like gun control and abortion.

Aug 10, 2026

Given the overwhelming superiority of the American military, Washington could create the appearance of bringing Iran under control. Regardless how the conflict ultimately unfolds, however, the United States is unlikely ever to return to an era in which the Iran issue was manageable at a limited and predictable cost.

May 08, 2026

The announcement by the United Arab Emirates that it would withdraw from OPEC has drawn intense international attention. Should conditions in the Strait of Hormuz improve, the UAE would be well positioned to rapidly expand its share of the global oil market.

Mar 06, 2026

The formal revocation of the U.S. environmental agency’s greenhouse gas “endangerment finding” undermines a foundational pillar of the government’s climate policy and will significantly impede the regulation of domestic emissions.

Jan 23, 2026

Over the past year, territorial expansion, military intervention, economic coercion, resource plundering and withdrawal from international agreements have become hallmarks of Donald Trump's imperialism. He is expected to continue to pursue more in the days to come.

Oct 09, 2025

The unusual movements of U.S. Treasuries and the dollar reflect not only a global reassessment but also questions about America’s national power and international standing. The dollar’s hegemony may soon face a critical turning point.

Aug 22, 2025

The logic underpinning the U.S. president’s approach to war and peace looks at international conflicts as being subject to transactional pricing mechanisms. In the short run, this strategy can yield results, but its long-term sustainability remains deeply uncertain.

Aug 01, 2025

In the high-tech center of the world, technology and capital are moving from merely lobbying Washington to reshaping it, a trend that poses ongoing challenges to the structure of political power in the United States.

May 02, 2025

The Trump administration will continue to sway as it seeks new equilibrium amid stress-relieving turbulence. Historical patterns can be seen, but so can evolving realities. No one knows if America will find another escape route.