Jan 06, 2015

Over the past two decades, China’s growth paradigm characterized by investment and driven by exports has run out of steam. A major feature of China’s current economy is overcapacity, especially in the real estate sector. An increase in domestic consumption and infrastructure investment will help continue growth, but the biggest challenge facing China in 2015 is the high corporate debt ratio.

Apr 09, 2014

Analysts expecting a large crash of the Chinese economy will be disappointed, writes Yu Yongding, as China has, in fact, faced far worse financial difficulties. While the country’s current problems aren’t as severe as those it faced in the late 1990’s or early 2000’s, problems do persist and the margin for error is rapidly reaching its economic limits.

Dec 23, 2013

At the recent Third Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee, China's leaders produced a 60-point "resolution" covering six areas. But a shopping list of reform objectives – many of which were not as bold or novel as promised – is inadequate to address the deep contradictions undermining China’s development.

Aug 08, 2013

Yu Yongding explains the implications of China’s slowing economic growth rate and attempts to preempt a rise in inflation.

Jun 10, 2013

China’s adjustment of its investment-income deficit for 2011 exposes flaws in economic growth, but hasn’t raised as much concern as it should. Two statistics account for China’s negative net investment-income, high return on foreign investment and China’s foreign assets are mostly US dollars. Without fundamental change, it is hard to imagine a sable Chinese economy in the long-term future.

Apr 04, 2013

The People's Bank of China has been pursuing capital-account liberalization at an increasing rate since 2009. But Chinese policymakers should recognize the significant risks inherent in relaxing capital controls – risks that imply the need for a more cautious approach.

Jan 30, 2012

The core of internationalization of the Chinese yuan, or renminbi, is liberalization of its capital account, as was revealed in China’s practices over the past

Aug 03, 2011

Even as the debt crises in Europe and the United States loom large and the global economic recovery falters, inflation is making a comeback worldwide. Indeed, e

Jun 01, 2011

Recently, HSBC bank released an upbeat survey predicting that China’s currency, the renminbi (RMB), will become one of three global settlement currencies (alon

Apr 03, 2011

BEIJING – Despite shaky economic fundamentals, US government securities are usually regarded as a safe haven. Whenever a crisis erupts, the value of US Treasur