Nov 02, 2023

In the post-Cold War era of unrivaled U.S. primacy, the view that economic development and trade would ultimately deliver liberal democracy to China’ had become the default strategic declaration for every American president. A liberal democratic China would become a “responsible stakeholder” and perpetual peace would ensue. The United States has now abandoned that strategy.

Jul 26, 2023

Excessive Sino-American rivalry could be averted if strategists from the U.S. and China make rational assessments about the other side’s capabilities and limits - and can restrain themselves from pouncing on misperceived weaknesses.

Sep 10, 2019

It is in Greece’s national interest to pursue continuity in its relations with China and even act as a strategic interpreter between Washington and Beijing, but this will demand creative strategic acuity as the United States will soon rank the world into friends and enemies.

May 28, 2019

Nanjing has been the city of the counterfactuals and of alternative histories. Throughout China’s history, Nanjing has stood as a dynastic capital, a capital of the divine rebels, a republican capital, and now the epicenter of China’s semiconductor industry.

Mar 29, 2019

Germany will be at the strategic forefront as Europe’s economy and political weight continue to grow. Yet any decision made in Berlin about the future of the union will loudly reverberate in Washington and Beijing.

Dec 11, 2018

A New Cold War between China and the United States will be profoundly more catastrophic than the US-Soviet Cold War of the last century. Unless we have a planet to spare there is no justification for it. Intelligent idealism is needed to avert it.

Aug 09, 2018

The strategic perception that U.S. trade measures against China could provoke a Chinese debt crisis and thus coerce the CPC into early commercial capitulation is based on a grave miscalculation of Chinese economic fundamentals. This misjudgment could escalate and prolong an otherwise limited trade war with disastrous consequences for China-U.S. relations and the global economic order.

Jun 21, 2018

America’s surprisingly healthy demographics and abundance in guns and butter cannot sustain its global preeminence if virulent politics of resentment undo its constitutional order. Competition between China and the United States will ultimately be shaped by a clash for domestic political excellence.

May 09, 2018

While the transatlantic partnership remains a priority for Europe, this should not make the EU strategically biased against China. It should urge Europe to become a more autonomous strategic actor and to negotiate its global interests from a principled position of consolidated strength.

Mar 14, 2018

Are trade wars easy to win and is Trump both willing and capable of escalating the conflict with Beijing to an all-out trade war, hoping that China will sooner or later capitulate?