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Economic Reform
  • Stephen Roach, Senior Fellow, Yale University

    May 31, 2014

    The temptations of extrapolation are hard to resist. The trend exerts a powerful influence on markets, policymakers, households, and businesses. But discerning observers understand the limits of linear thinking, because they know that lines bend, or sometimes even break. That is the case today in assessing two key factors shaping the global economy: the risks associated with America’s policy gambit and the state of the Chinese economy.

  • William Yu, Economist, UCLA Anderson School of Management

    May 27, 2014

    Following World Bank projections that China will become the largest global economy based on purchasing power parity, William Yu contends that better economic ranking indicators exist, like market exchange rate. Using this measurement, where U.S. GDP was calculated at $17 trillion compared to China’s $9.1 trillion, China’s economy is expected to surpass the U.S.’s sometime in the next two decades.

  • Niu Li, Director of Macro-economy Studies, State Information Center

    May 22, 2014

    Recent reports on China’s GDP are based on an overestimation of China’s purchasing power parity due to different calculation methods, writes Niu Li. While China’s aggregate economy is very large, it must continue to build up its service industry and increase domestic demand rather than solely focusing on the quantity of economic growth.

  • He Weiwen, Senior Fellow, Center for China and Globalization, CCG

    May 12, 2014

    Despite predictions that the Chinese economy will overtake the US in 2014, China will still remain world No.2 for years, writes He Weiwen.

  • Tom Watkins, President and CEO of the Economic Council of Palm Beach County, FL

    May 10, 2014

    Due to China’s rapid economic growth, the country is now incurring the hazardous effects of its accruing environmental damage. China’s environmental problems are exacerbated by global demand. The U.S. and China can attain mutual benefits by collaboratively cleaning up China’s eco-system. China should also capitalize on innovative green technologies to develop the interior and the west of the country.

  • Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

    Apr 19, 2014

    China’s central bank will not change its monetary policy in the near future, but will rather keep a steady but tight policy to get both credit and monetary growth back on track. This could be the keynote of China central bank monetary policy for 2014, writes Yi XIanrong.

  • Fernando Menéndez, Economist and China-Latin America observer

    Apr 17, 2014

    Many Latin American countries have experienced record levels of growth in the last decade due to high prices of commodities, however, few planned for the future. As China slows and US desire for petroleum lessens, the economies of many Latin American countries that have failed to diversify their economies away from a single commodity are slowing drastically.

  • Ronald McKinnon, Professor, Stanford University

    Apr 12, 2014

    In late February, the gradual appreciation of the renminbi was interrupted by a 1% depreciation. The resulting international outcry obscured a troubling feature of China’s exchange-rate policy: the tendency for sporadic renminbi appreciation (even small movements) to trigger speculative inflows of “hot” money.

  • Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics

    Apr 09, 2014

    Analysts expecting a large crash of the Chinese economy will be disappointed, writes Yu Yongding, as China has, in fact, faced far worse financial difficulties. While the country’s current problems aren’t as severe as those it faced in the late 1990’s or early 2000’s, problems do persist and the margin for error is rapidly reaching its economic limits.

  • Li Zheng, Assistant Research Processor, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations

    Mar 21, 2014

    Premier Li Keqiang has revealed more information about his ‘Likonomics’ plan, and the future prospects for China's economic reform, writes Li Zheng.

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