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Foreign Policy

The Next Big Threat to US-China Ties

Jul 21 , 2011

The United States and China have long lobbed verbal grenades across the Pacific, each blaming the other for global imbalances due to currency manipulation or fiscal irresponsibility. But a new challenge to Sino-US relations is emerging, one that will brush aside the bones of contention that now occupy policymakers – Chinese investment in the United States.

So far, Washington hasn’t unveiled a clear strategy to address this impending source of friction. It needs one.

With $3 trillion in foreign currency reserves, China needs to invest its money abroad. Its domestic, export-led economy is no place to absorb all the capital. In addition, inflation is stubbornly high and rising labour costs have begun to push production elsewhere, threatening China’s solid growth rates. Meanwhile, limited investment options have led to an alarming asset bubble.

Ting Xu is a senior project manager at the Washington, DC-based Bertelsmann Foundation.

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