Senior Fellow, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Mar 06 , 2019
Although the two sides left the Hanoi Summit emptyhanded, it nonetheless set a positive tone for a possible future deal — especially if both sides give their diplomats a chance to conduct working-level negotiations, rather than expecting meetings between top leaders to resolve a host of complex issues.
Jun 15 , 2018
The Singapore summit was a good step forward, but a lot of questions remain.
Apr 11 , 2018
Last year witnessed 'the highest tension' in the Korean Peninsula since 1994. Early this year, North Korea's gestures and the proposed Inter-Korea Summit and a possible Kim-Trump Summit offered a glimmer of hope to lower the tension. There’s a high probability the Kim-Trump Summit will happen. It is not because either side has dramatically changed their rigid positions, but because there is no better alternative and neither side will have anything significant to lose at a summit. The Trump Administration has clearly stated that its "Maximum Pressure" campaign will remain intact, and its joint military drills with South Korea will be conducted as planned. The proposed summit will offer an opportunity to test North Korea's intentions on denuclearization. For North Korea, the unprecedented sanctions hurt badly, and it has claimed that it has accomplished "the historic cause of perfecting the national nuclear forces". By proposing a summit, North Korea does not need to give up what it has achieved, and a summit might help to relax the sanctions and lower the probability of military conflict.
Mar 12 , 2018
Will the proposed meeting between Trump and Kim be "possible progress" or "false hope"?
Oct 20 , 2017
Trump has failed to learn from the success of the Iran nuclear deal and to apply those lessons to North Korea. His failure risks the future of nonproliferation.
Jul 20 , 2017
Outsourcing the North Korea issue to China has never worked, and it is less likely to work this time. There is no doubt that China's cooperation and coordination is important and perhaps indispensable, but the ongoing rising tension is making the totally unwanted bombing option only more likely unless Trump gets more creative.
Apr 08 , 2016
Many countries have strengthened the physical protection of nuclear materials and facilities, and stronger regulations have been put into place. Now that the Nuclear Security Summits are said to have served their purpose, it is time to translate political stances into additional concrete measures and investment in nuclear security.
Mar 14 , 2016
Pyongyang should pay a price for its violation of Security Council resolutions, but punishment by itself will not magically solve the nuclear problem. If sanctions could not be translated into a strategic rethink, they will only add more pain to the ordinary North Koreans' already miserable life.
Jan 08 , 2016
“Strategic Patience” has not served the US well as a policy, nor has a collection of unilaterally pursued sanctions, diplomatic pressure, isolation and military deterrence. Even late in a president’s second term, there is an opportunity to shift gears and seek a new approach.
Sep 08 , 2015
China is developing quickly both in terms of economy and military, and that is a natural process. Most major powers travelled the same way in the past, and a strong China helps preserve peace and stability in the world.