Although the Biden administration’s approach to strategic competition is quite different from the Trump administration’s, it does not necessarily follow that China–U.S. relations will stabilize and improve.

The deterioration of China-U.S. relations has not ended, and a turnaround is unlikely. Given the intense frictions of recent years, both countries have built up a fixed mindset about diplomatic strategy that has been incorporated in their domestic politics. Superb diplomatic skills will be needed to avert confrontation.

There’s a long list of worthwhile possibilities in the military and security fields, and it’s of utmost importance that the two countries engage with one another. The result of failure could be catastrophic.

The world has entered a new phase, one that presents new implications for the China-U.S. relationship. As time goes on, adjustments will be made, and some quarrels are inevitable. But in the end, a new type of relations will emerge.

Large gaps between ambassador appointments can cause significant challenges for the next diplomat. As the next U.S. ambassador sent to Beijing is determined, they should look to past successes like James Lilley to understand how to engage with China.

China-U.S. relations will not continue down the path of the Trump regime, nor will they return to the ways of Obama. Instead, the relationship will enter a long-term phase of competitive co-existence characterized by mutual dependence, where common interests will present opportunities for collaboration.

Fifty years after the great thaw in relations between China and the United States, the two have reached a new turning point, with little reason for them to return to conflict and confrontation. A positive outlook seems warranted, although the future remains uncertain. Will relations decline again, or will they stabilize?

In the quest for healthy long-term relations, China and the United States should continue striving to identify their converging interests and work to connect. In the longer term, international relations need to evolve into a new model of self-disciplined compromise, supervision and inclusion.

Prudence and pragmatism should guide China’s approach in the wake of initial talks that featured some hard-nosed rhetoric. Whether the meeting kick-starts new China-U.S. engagement or only serves to maintain — or even heighten — tensions remain to be seen.

The negativity of China-U.S. talks in Alaska risks a further downward spiral and an unhealthy new normal. But it’s an improvement over the Trump era. If the parties keep expectations low and maintain mutual respect, they should be able to replace their free-falling relationship with a more stable one.