Senior Fellow, Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies
Jan 21, 2020
"The more fundamental, and more difficult, issues —including dropping all tariffs, and structural changes in China — are left to phase two."
Jan 17, 2020
Thorny, fundamental issues have been left to the next round, and nobody can predict how further talks will develop. Meanwhile, the U.S. presidential election season is heating up, and the world should be prepared for the worst.
Jan 15, 2020
When it comes to the way many in the U.S. view China, perception is far from reality. Irresponsible analysis can only mislead policymakers and harm bilateral trade relations.
Nov 28, 2019
Cutting ties would undoubtedly hurt both countries. But when wishful policies collide with the iron laws of economics, the latter are certain to prevail.
Oct 25, 2019
If current negative global trends continue, China is likely to step up efforts to keep growth above the line. It will continue to serve as the largest contributor to global output in any event.
Sep 20, 2019
"The trade war with the U.S. has had negative but limited effects so far on the Chinese economy. China is sure to weather a long trade war."
Sep 18, 2019
High pressure from the United States hurts, but it won’t work in the long run. China doesn’t want the dispute to continue because there’s no good reason to damage two major economies and the world.
Aug 02, 2019
Trump’s most recent memo to the WTO is the latest in a series of unilateral aggressions by the U.S. Given the relentless combativeness of the Trump Administration in global trade more broadly, the memo targeting WTO norms is unlikely to have any productive results.
Jul 30, 2019
U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods did not hurt Chinese global exports, which have been going strong with the EU and ASEAN. Further tariffs will only hurt the U.S. presence in China and the American economy, which relies on China trade.
May 31, 2019
Trump’s idiosyncratic “art of the deal” apparently means putting extreme pressure on your negotiating partner to force them to surrender — but the US approach is based on faulty Trumpian economic assumptions and a misread of China’s growth history, and will only backfire.