Shang-Jin Wei, Professor, Finance and Economics at Columbia University
Jul 19, 2024
Can an assassination attempt improve a candidate’s chances of winning an election? Taiwan’s experience suggests that it might. During its 2004 presidential election, polls showed then-President Chen Shui-bian trailing his opponent, Nationalist Party (Kuomintang) candidate Lien Chan. But this changed abruptly the day before the vote, when Chen and Vice President Annette Lu were shot during an election rally.
Sun Chenghao, Fellow, Center for International Security and Strategy, Tsinghua University
Zhang Xueyu, Research Assistant, Center for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University
Jul 19, 2024
No matter who ultimately wins the election in November, only minor adjustments to competition with China at the tactical level are likely to occur. The competitive essence will not change. It’s a Cold War-style outcome that may make bilateral cooperation more difficult.
Mallie Prytherch, Researcher at Centre on Contemporary China and the World, University of Hong Kong
Jun 18, 2024
The unpredictable nature of Trump's China policy, influenced by his ideology, foreign policy team, and personal vendettas, makes it difficult to anticipate the direction of U.S.-China relations under a potential second Trump administration.
Bian Qingzu, Research Fellow, China Foundation for International Studies
May 16, 2024
Although it’s still early, China is referenced heavily in political rhetoric and is a top target of candidates. Washington is suffused with an atmosphere geopolitical contention. Distorted images of China and emerging hawkish policies have undermined goodwill in bilateral relations. China needs to prepare for any outcome in November.
Jodie Wen, Postdoctoral Fellow, Center for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University
Yitong Liu, Master, Committee on International Relations at the University of Chicago
Apr 30, 2024
The youth will be crucial for President Joe Biden’s bid for re-election, as it was in 2020. But Biden’s continued support for Israel is cooling their ardor. To make matters worse, support for Biden among Muslim-Americans — a key voting bloc in some swing states — has taken a nosedive.
Sun Chenghao, Fellow, Center for International Security and Strategy, Tsinghua University
Ezgi Koklen, Research Assistant, Ankara Center for Crisis and Policy Studies
Apr 26, 2024
While the United States has come through for its allies in Europe, Israel and Ukraine for now, there is reason for concern. Depending on who is elected U.S. president in November, securing further U.S. support could become increasingly difficult. If Donald Trump wins, there could be trouble ahead.
An Gang, Adjunct Fellow, Center for International Security and Strategy, Tsinghua University
Apr 26, 2024
A victory by Donald Trump is an ugly prospect that most of the world shudders to contemplate. We’re not betting he’ll win in 2024 but are simply acknowledging that it’s possible and that instability is likely to follow. China cannot afford to wait until the last minute before taking action.
Zhao Minghao, Professor, Institute of International Studies, Fudan University, and China Forum Expert.
Apr 19, 2024
As if things were not complicated enough before, the political campaign season in the U.S. is upon us, with all its expected anti-China rhetoric. The recent visit to China of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen applied some needed salve. She made measurable progress through frank discussions.
Mallie Prytherch, Researcher at Centre on Contemporary China and the World, University of Hong Kong
Apr 12, 2024
Neither political party in America has shied away from stoking fears about China's threat to U.S. economic dominance. While this strategy appeals to the disillusioned middle class, there's no guarantee it will continue to resonate with the next generation of voters.
Myron Brilliant, Senior Counselor, Dentons Global Advisors-ASG
Mar 11, 2024
In this interview with China-US Focus, Myron Brilliant, senior counselor at Dentons Global Advisors-ASG, discusses ways to enhance economic stability and increa