Apr 15, 2025

Thanks to President Trump’s new round of international tariffs, the global economy is now at the risk of unraveling. This is not just the result of plunging world trade and investment, but of soaring U.S. military expenditures.

Apr 05, 2025

After a decade of deglobalization and U.S. geopolitics, globalization is no longer at crossroads, but unraveling. The longer this plunge prevails, the greater will be its costs.

Feb 21, 2025

At the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, investor Warren Buffett warned of derivatives as weapons of financial mass destruction. President Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" could have a similar impact on world trade.

Feb 07, 2025

By trying to weaponize the U.S. tariffs on America's big trade partners against China, President Trump is basing bad economics on worse geopolitics. It could prove a costly prelude to a global downturn.

Dec 20, 2024

The Trump White House is likely to ignite another round of inflation in new trade and tech wars. And that could drive U.S.-China ties to the edge.

Oct 30, 2024

Israel’s Iran reprisals aren't over. A broader attack may ensue in cooperation with the United States, while the war-weary, ailing region would prefer to focus on economic development with China.

Sep 21, 2024

The 2024 U.S. election is not just about democracy but about big media, big money and big defense. It is setting the stage for a new trade war and lethal geopolitics that could destabilize global economic prospects for years to come.

Jul 31, 2024

In just two years, China has facilitated cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Iran; now between Fatah and Hamas. Over time, that could pave the way to peace in the Middle East, after eight decades of unwarranted violence.

Apr 12, 2024

The trilateral militarization between the U.S., Japan and the Philippines has officially started and is likely to expand. In the next few years, it will cast a dark shadow of missiles and nuclearization over the Philippines and the region.

Apr 05, 2024

The doctrine of “assertive transparency” has dramatically escalated South China Sea tensions. Among other things, it has paved the way to the alignment of the U.S., Japan and Philippines in the impending April summit.