Jun 18, 2026

Great powers can explore paths toward peaceful coexistence. The most important lesson of the Reykjavik Summit in 1986 was not that competition can be eliminated but that it requires clear boundaries. The real challenge is not the removal of differences but preventing their escalation into conflict.

Jun 03, 2026

Back-to-back China-Russia coordination is a response to the growing turbulence in the international system. While their strategic collaboration enhances bilateral strategic predictability, it also signifies that major-country competition is becoming more protracted and complex.

May 19, 2026

The recent visit by U.S. President Donald Trump and by Russian President Vladimir Putin can be seen as a limited buffer in current major-power dynamics.

May 14, 2026

The Iran and Ukraine wars have shifted major-power competition from military confrontation to control over global energy routes, critical infrastructure, and supply chains.

Mar 27, 2026

Middle powers on the continent have a real motivation to cooperate. Constrained by structural factors such as their defense systems, however, the so-called transatlantic shared heritage and the scale of the U.S. market, their cooperation is seen mostly in policy coordination and diplomatic statements.

Mar 06, 2026

Whether assessing the prospects of the war in Ukraine or predicting the trajectory of relations between the United States and Russia, U.S. policy discussions have generally revealed a cautious, realistic tone: The war is unlikely to end quickly, and the rupture in the international order is widening.

Jan 16, 2026

In 2025, Ukraine gradually changed from a battlefield confrontation to a complex contest centered on cease-fire terms, postwar arrangements and the responsibilities of the world’s major powers. The war in Ukraine did not end in 2025, but a new reality was clearly defined.

Dec 09, 2025

Negotiations on Ukraine’s peace plan reveal more than technical differences. They show a calculation by all parties related to the cost of war, the capacity to endure over time and the sequencing of strategic priorities.

Dec 08, 2025

The Trump administration’s transactional diplomacy in Central Asia comes with both reconfiguration and constraints. It has broadened the scope of U.S. engagement, yet its depth and structural impact on regional geopolitics are limited.

Oct 28, 2025

The meeting was agreed upon to promote a cease-fire in the Ukraine conflict. But it was called off, underscoring the fragility of peace initiatives and suggesting that the war is likely to continue for a long time.