Zhao Qizheng Dean of the School of Journalism, Renmin University
Jul 14 , 2020
A desire for all-around containment of China by the United States — pushed by hawkish political elements — is a major error that only boxes the two countries into the so-called Thucydides trap. Conflict will have no winners.
Yu Yongding Former President, China Society of World Economics
Kevin P. Gallagher Professor of Global Development Policy, Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies
Apr 27 , 2020
As Graham Allison of Harvard University has warned, “when a rising power like Athens, or China, threatens to displace a ruling power like Sparta, which had been the dominant power in Greece for a hundred years, or the US, basically alarm bells should sound.” Nowadays, the alarm bells are sounding so loud that they are drowning out ideas that would allow the United States and China to escape what Allison called the “Thucydides Trap.”
Steven Yang Yue Heng Yenching Scholar, Peking University.
Feb 13 , 2020
China’s rich trove of ancient wisdom expands the imagination about global governance. Its perspective deserves a place at the table. After asking what our current world is, we must not forget to ask ourselves what the future world could be.
An Gang Research Fellow, Center for International Strategy and Security, Tsinghua University
Jun 04 , 2019
As America’s China policy turns from engagement to competition, Beijing must face facts: Trump or no Trump, the US has reached bipartisan consensus on containing China. How should Beijing respond? Where will the current confrontation lead? In crafting a new strategy towards the US, China must consider the ultimate goal of its rise, and how America fits into the big picture.
Zhang Tuosheng Chairman of Academic Committee and Director of Foreign Policy Center, CFISS
Apr 30 , 2019
China-US relations have deteriorated from “coopetition” into hostility. If China and the US can find a way back to a constructive path, they both stand to benefit from a “G2” world — and shortsighted attempts by America to maintain a “G1” world of US supremacy will only harm both countries’ global standing.
Graham Allison Former Director, Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
Mar 29 , 2019
The competing rivals are vulnerable to extraneous actions unrelated to the rivalry, by some third party, unintended by either of the principal rivals, which nonetheless one or the other feels obliged to respond to, setting up a spiral that often ends in a conflict, even a catastrophic conflict.
Shi Yinhong Professor, Renmin University
Jan 31 , 2019
Many factors make today’s world more stable.
Joseph S. Nye Professor, Harvard University
Dec 07 , 2018
While the 90 day “truce of Bueno Aires” buys time for negotiations during the US-China trade war, it does little to address the real problems of the China-US relationship. Instead of succumbing to unnecessary hysteria, the US-China relationship should move towards a “cooperative rivalry.”
He Yafei Former Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs
Aug 28 , 2018
He Yafei argues that it is still true that China and the U.S. have more common grounds than differences. China continues to desire for a secure and stable world order.
Zhou Qing’an Associate Dean, Tsinghua University
Aug 23 , 2018
Professor Graham Allison of Harvard has suggested that the US/China relationship might fall into the ‘Thucydides trap’, referring to conflict between an established power and a newly rising one. This is a possibility but not a certainty: both countries will have to take care to avoid exacerbating difficulties in the relationship and to make the right choices among the different scenarios for the way forward, and as things stand, China appears better placed to manage this change.