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China-ASEAN Relations
  • Richard Javad Heydarian, Professorial Chairholder in Geopolitics, Polytechnic University of the Philippines

    Aug 22, 2017

    Crucially, the ASEAN meeting underscored the “importance of non-militarization and self-restraint” for both claimant states as well as “all other states.” The ASEAN communiqué effectively echoed China’s line, since Beijing has opposed the Philippines’ arbitration award, shunned a “legally binding” COC, underplayed its reclamation activities in disputed waters, and called upon external powers such as the U.S. to stay out of the conflict.

  • Lucio Blanco Pitlo III, Research Fellow, Asia-Pacific Pathways to Progress

    Aug 22, 2017

    ASEAN meetings almost always generate expectations of raising the South China Sea (SCS) disputes to the point where the success of the meeting boils down to how tough the adopted language is in the final official statements. Considering the breadth and depth of issues covered by ASEAN in its annual meetings, such reduction is unfortunate and unfair.

  • Xue Li, Senior Fellow, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

    Aug 09, 2017

    The United States has revamped its maritime response to Chinese policy in the South China Sea, conducting its first Freedom of Navigation Operation (FONOP) since President Trump took office. While China cannot allow this action to go unchecked, it should consider its larger global and regional power objectives before determining its response.

  • Richard Javad Heydarian, Professorial Chairholder in Geopolitics, Polytechnic University of the Philippines

    Aug 09, 2017

    China claims sovereignty over almost the entirety of the South China Sea, while consistently rejecting The Hague ruling. Thus, the only way for a JDA to push through is if Duterte managed to amend the Philippine constitution, largely ignore his country’s arbitration award victory, and overcome deep-seated public antipathy towards resource-sharing agreements with China. This will be an uphill battle with a lot of potential hiccups along the way.

  • Ian Storey, Senior Fellow, ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute

    Jul 12, 2017

    For the past 12 months, the waters of the South China Sea have been fairly tranquil. However, long-time, and hence jaded, observers of one of Asia’s most intractable disputes understand the cyclical nature of tensions; and also know that given the unchanging central drivers of the conflict and the absence of collective political will to palliate those drivers and negotiate an equitable solution, periods of calm are invariably followed by strong tempests.

  • Quansheng Zhao , Professor, International Relations at American University

    May 08, 2017

    Since the 2008 global financial crisis, China and the U.S. have entered into a new structure, namely an emerging dual leadership structure, in the Asia-Pacific. This trend represents the future direction of U.S.-China relations.

  • Minxin Pei, Tom and Margot Pritzker ’72 Professor of Government , Claremont McKenna College

    May 25, 2017

    When US President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) this past January, many observers saw that decision as a boon for China. East Asia countries can no longer count on US-supplied public goods to maintain peace and deliver prosperity, they will face some tough choices.

  • Brantly Womack, Professor, University of Virginia

    Apr 27, 2017

    ASEAN’s commitment to regional consensus and to global inclusiveness has been one of the world’s most successful diplomatic initiatives of the past fifty years. While nationalists in China and Vietnam as well as global media remain fixated on sovereignty disputes in the South China Sea, faster growth of the developing world than the developed world is the tectonic trend in the world political economy.

  • Zhang Xinbo, Assistant Research Fellow, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations

    Mar 06, 2017

    Sending the first US aircraft-carrier combat group to patrol the South China Sea since the Philippines arbitration has unsettled the region. The US military should promote new trust-building with its Chinese counterpart, and the administration can ease tensions with a clear statement on sovereignty over South China Sea features.

  • Zhou Bo, Senior Fellow, Center for International Security and Strategy, Tsinghua University

    Jan 25, 2017

    Like the confidence-building measures that have maintained peace and stability along the disputed China-India border, a code of conduct agreement with ASEAN will smooth relations and invite new cooperation — without regard to the Philippines’ improper and unilateral appeal for outside arbitration.

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