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GDP
  • Niu Li, Director of Macro-economy Studies, State Information Center

    Aug 04, 2017

    Since the start of 2017, China’s economy has shown a stable recovery supported by the better-than-expected exports, high industrial reserves, and a hot property market. Even with financing difficulties and rising costs, it appears that China’s economy will continue to stabilize with improvement through the latter half of the year.

  • Andrew Sheng, Distinguished Fellow at the Asia Global Institute at the University of Hong Kong

    Xiao Geng, President of the Hong Kong Institution for International Finance

    Aug 02, 2017

    China’s transformation into a knowledge-based economy occupying a central position in the global value chain will ultimately yield a “reform dividend.” But as exciting as that transformation will be, it will also be dangerous. Never before has an economy so large undergone such far-reaching change so quickly

  • Stephen Roach, Faculty Member, Yale University

    Jul 26, 2017

    After decelerating for six consecutive years, China real GDP growth appears to be inching up in 2017. The 6.9% annualized increase just reported for the second quarter exceeds the 6.7% rise in 2016 and is well above the consensus of international forecasters who, just a few months ago, expected growth to be closer to 6.5% this year, and to slow further, to 6%, in 2018.

  • Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics

    Jul 06, 2017

    In an ideal world, China’s government could respond by stimulating household consumption. But, in the absence of further reforms in areas like social security, growth in consumer spending is bound to be slow.

  • Lawrence Lau, Ralph and Claire Landau Professor of Economics, CUHK

    Jul 06, 2017

    Despite all the predictions of doom by Western pundits in 1997, Hong Kong has done well since its reversion of sovereignty to China twenty years ago. 

  • Lawrence Lau, Ralph and Claire Landau Professor of Economics, CUHK

    Jun 27, 2017

    Moody's Investors Service recently downgraded China's sovereign credit rating, the first time since 1989, changing at the same time its outlook for the Chinese

  • Zhang Jun, Dean, School of Economics, Fudan University

    Jun 08, 2017

    Weak demand is dragging down China’s economic growth. While necessary to mitigate financial risk, will not resolve China’s monetary conundrum, much less protect China’s economy from the consequences of a financial crisis in the long run.

  • Zhong Wei, Professor, Beijing Normal University

    Apr 28, 2017

    Despite China’s struggle to identify new drivers of growth, there are many positive indicators in the economy right now. We should be more result-focused and open-minded about China’s economic pursuit, and be willing to see the positive side while weighing the country’s economic future.

  • Stephen Roach, Faculty Member, Yale University

    Oct 27, 2016

    China is increasingly portrayed as the next disaster in a crisis-prone world. Stephen S. Roach disagrees, recognizing his minority opinion. Roach argues that without China, the world economy would already be in recession, citing the IMF’s October World Economic Outlook.

  • Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

    Aug 12, 2016

    China’s economy did not get out of the difficulty of downward pressure and was mainly fueled by real estate and price increases in the first half of the year. If China’s central bank tightens its monetary policy to some extent, the real estate market may start a periodic adjustment to be more sustainable, but the growth picture will be less rosy for the second half of 2016.

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