The U.S. has placed the other members of the group in a disadvantageous position, expecting each of them to confront China. Instead, what they will discover is that they are missing out on the benefits China offers.

What message was conveyed? Nobody is quite sure. While the top American diplomat’s visit to Hanoi will surely affect relations with the U.S., Vietnam doesn’t want to alienate China.

The rise in US-China frictions has led some Americans to call for an increase in US support for Taiwan—even a return of American military forces. However, basing US troops in Taiwan will unnecessarily complicate an already complex situation and undermine peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait.

India and China have had a long history of testy disputes around the mountainous borderlands between the world’s most populous nations. The U.S. sees this conflict as an opportunity to gain a strategic ally in its new Cold War with China.

Japan’s Prime Minister hosted a Quadrilateral Security Dialogue that pinpointed the rise of China and the disputes in the South China Sea a focal point.

Emerging technologies are bringing advanced capabilities to more countries and adding new ambiguities, which only increase risk. Failing to strengthen controls now will lead to a new arms race.

The rise in US-China frictions has led some Americans to call for an increase in US support for Taiwan—even a return of American military forces. However, basing US troops in Taiwan will unnecessarily complicate an already complex situation and undermine peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait.

China and the United States have long seen technology as both a sign of hope and a reason to worry. The impact of recent U.S. escalations against China remain to be seen.

As the United States tries to recruit India into its anti-China coalition, India should be cautious. While the chance of a war is remote, the growing strategic confrontation between the world’s two largest economies could put it in a bind.

For now and the foreseeable future, gaming will be intensified, making compromise difficult. It will likely remain peaceful and manageable on the whole, but uncertainties are growing.